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Polymarket is a global prediction market platform that lets people trade on real-world outcomes using crowd-sourced odds.
Polymarket is a global prediction-market platform that enables people to forecast real-world outcomes by trading on binary contracts. The site aggregates crowd-sourced odds to produce real-time prices, allowing participants to gauge probabilities on a wide range of events in politics, economy, technology, and culture. Polymarket operates globally through separate legal entities. Polymarket US is operated by QCX LLC d/b/a Polymarket US, a CFTC-regulated Designated Contract Market, while the international platform is not regulated by the CFTC and operates independently. The platform emphasizes transparency, market integrity, and accessibility, providing live trading data and publicly available information to help users make informed decisions. It positions itself as the world's largest prediction market and supports a global community of traders, researchers, and observers who monitor market activity, volume, and resolution sources. By aggregating diverse information sources and crowd sentiment, Polymarket aims to reflect collective expectations about future events and to offer an open, data-driven view of uncertainty across domains.
To empower people to forecast real-world events by aggregating crowd insights and offering transparent, accessible markets that reflect real-time probabilities.
What we offer
Polymarket Platform
Trade real-world outcomes through binary prediction markets with Polymarket.
polymarket.com/Who do we serve
Retail Traders And Individual Investors
Retail traders worldwide seeking real-time market signals and transparent outcomes.
Media And Market Analysts
Media outlets and analysts seeking probabilistic indicators for forecasting.
Academic Researchers And Think Tanks
Researchers seeking credible event data for studies and policy analysis.
Corporate Strategy, Risk, And Business Development
Global corporations evaluating external-event risk and strategic opportunities.
Market segments
Market size by segment
Growth potential (CAGR)
Event-driven prediction markets
Platforms for trading binary yes/no event contracts that provide price-discovery and hedging opportunities for event outcomes.
Regulated event derivatives exchange
CFTC-regulated designated contract market services for trading event-linked derivative contracts, offering compliance, leverage, and official resolution processes for retail and professional participants.
Forecasting data and sentiment feeds
Real-time aggregated probability and market-data feeds and analytics used by researchers, analysts, and decision-makers to monitor crowd sentiment and probabilistic forecasts across politics, economy, and technology.
More information about our offering
Polymarket Platform
Polymarket is a global platform for binary prediction markets where users trade yes/no contracts on real-world events. It aggregates crowd-sourced odds to produce real-time prices and uses official resolution sources to determine outcomes. The platform operates globally with a US-regulated Designated Contract Market entity and an international platform not regulated by the CFTC, maintaining transparency and market integrity.
- Trade Yes/No ContractsEngage in trading on various events, yielding a simple yet effective way to speculate on outcomes.
- Instant Updates on OddsGet up-to-date information reflecting collective trader sentiment, enhancing decision-making.
- Official Event ResolutionsBenefit from a reliable resolution process that enhances trader confidence through official verification.
- Operational GloballyEnjoy access to a widely accepted platform across different jurisdictions ensuring compliance with local laws.
- Access Comprehensive DataUtilize transparent market metrics to make informed trading decisions based on the latest data.
- Maximize Potential GainsBenefit from the option to leverage trades for potentially higher returns, balancing risk and reward.
- Join a Thriving CommunityEngage with a large user base, ensuring ample liquidity and numerous trading opportunities.
References
Methodology and sourcing behind the figures shown above.
Event-driven prediction markets
Used reported 2025 trading-volume figures as a near-term market-size baseline (Crypto.com: US$27.9B Jan–Oct 2025). Growth potential is anchored to industry projections (Certuity) forecasting rapid expansion (95.5B by 2035, implied CAGR ~46.8%). Independent market-volume estimates (LinkedIn/FalconX) showing $64B in 2025 and $325B in 2026 corroborate high short-term growth and liquidity expansion; all figures refer to trading volume, not market capitalization.
- Between January to October 2025, prediction markets generated over US$27.9 billion in trading volume
- a 2025 report projects the distributed prediction industry to reach $95.5 billion by 2035, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 46.8%
- volumes grew nearly 4X sequentially to $64B in 2025 and are on pace to exceed $325B in 2026
Regulated event derivatives exchange
Primary input: industry reporting on prediction/event-contract markets showing rapid 2024–25 expansion (annualized trading volume ≈ $40–50B in 2025). I used that as the primary market-size anchor for a CFTC-regulated event-derivatives exchange (midpoint $45B annualized trading volume). For growth potential, I benchmarked prediction-markets’ recent explosive one-year expansion and broader derivatives market historical growth (Deutsche Börse: ~24% p.a. decade) and large, untapped derivatives volumes (ISDA: multi‑trillion daily FX volumes) to estimate a multi-year CAGR ~35% for the sector (reflecting strong near-term adoption but likely tapering from 2025 levels).
- annualized trading volume expanded nearly 200-fold…from roughly $300 million in 2024 to an estimated $40 billion to $50 billion in 2025
- grown impressively – around 24 percent per year in the last decade; about €457 trillion notional outstanding
- Global FX derivatives average daily turnover reached $6.6 trillion in April 2025
Forecasting data and sentiment feeds
No direct market-size figure for real-time forecasting data and sentiment feeds exists in the provided results. I used the cited sentiment-analytics/sentiment-analysis software market reports (USD 3.4–4.7B baseline with 14–17% CAGRs) as the primary reference and estimated that dedicated real-time forecasting/sentiment feed products (a subset of broader sentiment analytics and market-data feeds) represent a smaller niche—roughly 25–35% of the sentiment analytics software market—yielding an estimated market size of about USD 1.5B today and expected growth similar to the sentiment analytics sector (~15% CAGR) driven by real-time analytics, AI/NLP adoption, and demand for alternative data.
- global sentiment analysis software market size is likely to be valued at US$ 3.4 billion in 2026 ... reach US$ 10.1 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 16.8%
- The global sentiment analytics market size was valued at USD 4.68 billion in 2024. The market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 14.40% during 2025 to 2034.